Second quarter of 2002
Japanese
Governor remains doubtful over national plutonium policy
WISE-Paris, 27 May 2002
[posted 27/05/2002]
Eisaku Sato, the Governor of the Japanese Prefecture
of Fukushima, recently confirmed his critical position towards the national
governments plutonium program. In a 17 May 02 statement, at a
meeting with village leaders for an opinion exchange in Namie Town,
the Governor pointed out that reprocessing (of spent nuclear
fuel) results in rapid accumulation of plutonium and therefore
that it makes one suspicious about whether Japan wants to hoard
plutonium. (1)
The Governor statement was issued only a month and
a half after Japanese Liberal Party leader Ichiro Ozawa declared on
6 April 02 in a stunning statement that Japan has the ability to manufacture
thousands of nuclear warheads (2).
While Japan does not produce weapons grade plutonium, Marvin Miller
from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) confirms that scientists
have the competence to build weapons using reactor grade plutonium should
they get the political go ahead.
According to Marvin Miller, (3)
speculations over Japans plutonium stockpiles are due to several
factors:
- Chinas assertive political and military posture towards
Japan.
- North Koreas nuclear and missile development program.
- Japans strong commitment to closed nuclear fuel cycle
and its growing surplus of reactor-grade plutonium.
Being the only victim of nuclear attacks and protected
by the US nuclear umbrella, Japan has always rejected any intention
to acquire nuclear weapons. Should Japan decide to develop nuclear arms,
a currently highly unlikely but not unfeasible hypotheses, it would
have first to withdraw from the Non-Proliferation Treaty and would be
violating the Agreement for Co-operation between Japan and the US Concerning
Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy (4). Also, suppliers
of nuclear materials would be obliged, both by domestic legislation
and by the NSG (Nuclear Suppliers Group), to end all transfers
of materials and technology to Japan. As Dr. Edwin Lyman, President
of the Nuclear Control Institute as of 1 June 02, recently stated: Ozawas
nuclear threat could be an extraordinarily dangerous policy for Japan,
abandoning Japanese rejection of nuclear weapons under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty, and it could destabilize all of Northeast Asia.
While the world was puzzled about the intent of
Ozawa-sans declaration, the latest statement by the Fukushima
governor highlights the growing criticism, even in the country, over
national plutonium policy. Fukushima and Kashiwazaki-Kariwa (Niigata
Prefecture) officials remain opposed to the loading of plutonium-uranium
or MOX fuel at TEPCOs Fukushima I-3 and Kashiwazaki-3 reactors
in the framework of the so-called Pluthermal program. After
the decision of the Fukushima Governor in February 2001 not to authorize
MOX use and the referendum organized in Kashiwazaki-Kariwa on 27 May
2001, which led to the long term delay of the start of MOX use in both
prefectures, the debate hit the national level. The Fukushima Governor
now goes as far as stating : I think it is time we discuss
what would happen if we didnt reprocess for 50 years.
The Japanese reprocessing plant of Rokkasho-mura, currently under construction,
is planned to start-up in 2005. Japan has planned since the end of the
80s to become independent from the European nuclear industries by setting
up its own fuel industry. However, the key facility in the Japanese
scheme, the Rokkasho-mura reprocessing plant, encountered delays in
its construction and therefore engendered ever increasing costs.
Japan is in a transition phase, as all of the 2,924
t of the Light Water Reactor spent fuel sent to COGEMA-La Hague plants
have been reprocessed and 1,550 of the 2,680 t of LWR spent fuel contracted
at Sellafield have been reprocessed also (5).
Even if an additional 1,500 t of Gas Cooled Reactor spent fuel could
be sent to Sellafield for reprocessing, Japan aims to phase out the
costly and complicated overseas spent fuel management scheme. The Tokai
reprocessing plant, with a nominal capacity of 210 t/year, which reprocessed
around 970 t of a total of 1,030 t under contract between 1975 and 2000,
is not able to respond to Japanese needs. After the severe accident
in March 1997, where a fire and explosion destroyed the bituminization
workshop, the entire plant was shut down for three years. (6)
The Rokkasho-mura reprocessing plant, with 800 t of nominal capacity,
which began construction in 1989, was designed, like the Tokai plant
by the French Société Générale pour les
techniques Nouvelles (SGN), a COGEMA daughter company that also designed
the La Hague plants. However the construction costs of 6.3 billion Euros
planned in 1989, tripled in ten years to reach 18.3 billion Euros in
1999, compared to some 4.5 billion Euros investment cost for the equivalent
La Hague UP3 plant. The reasons for the 4 times higher cost figures
for Japan remain obscure.
Notes:
- Mainichi Newspaper Fukushima Edition Article, «
Pluthermal Program : Governor States Strong Distrust « Does
(the Government) want to stock Plutonium
», 18 May
2002, translation by Green Action, Kyoto
- NCI (Nuclear Control Institute), April 9, 2002,
Press Release, http://www.nci.org/
- Japan, Nuclear weapons, and reactor-grade
plutonium Marvin Miller, March 27 2002, Seminar at NCI
- November 4, 1987
- Figures as of the end of 2001
- Hideyuki Ban, « Current situation
on plutonium issue in Japan », CNIC, April 2001
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